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== Electoral reform referendum ==
{{Infobox referendum|name=Québec's 2022 Electoral reform Referendum<br />(government proposal)|image=|image_size=|caption=|title=Do you agree with replacing the first-past-the-post electoral system by the mixed electoral system with regional compensation set out in the Act to establish a new electoral system?<br />{{lang-fr|Êtes-vous en accord avec le remplacement du mode de scrutin majoritaire uninominal à un tour par le mode de scrutin mixte avec compensation régionale prévu par la Loi établissant un nouveau mode de scrutin?}}|location=|date={{Start date|2022|10|3}}|yes=|no=|total=|invalid=|electorate=|map=|mapdivision=|notes=|legend_yes=green|legend_no=red}}

[[François Legault]] was elected on a promise to reform the electoral system within a year of his victory. On 25 September 2019, [[Minister of Justice (Quebec)|Minister of Justice]] [[Sonia LeBel]] presented Bill 39, ''An Act to establish a new electoral system'' which aims to replace the [[First-past-the-post voting|First-past-the-post]] electoral system in favour of a [[Mixed-member proportional system|mixed-member proportional representation system]].

On April 28, 2021, Justice Minister LeBel informed a legislative committee hearing that the government would not move forward with a referendum on electoral reform in 2022. LeBel blamed the [[COVID-19 pandemic in Quebec|COVID-19 pandemic]] for altering the government's timeline and could not commit to providing an alternate date for the referendum, effectively ending discussions about electoral reform in Quebec.<ref name="EndOfReform">{{cite news |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/quebec-electoral-reform-referendum-2022-1.6005897 |title=Quebec backtracks on promise, no referendum on electoral reform in 2022 |first=Jonathan |last=Montpetit |date=28 April 2021 |work=CBC Montreal}}</ref>

Bill 39 was intended to be debated in the legislature before June 2021. The bill's implementation would have been contingent on popular support expressed in a referendum held on the same day as the general election.<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.assnat.qc.ca/Media/Process.aspx?MediaId=ANQ.Vigie.Bll.DocumentGenerique_149283en&process=Original&token=ZyMoxNwUn8ikQ+TRKYwPCjWrKwg+vIv9rjij7p3xLGTZDmLVSmJLoqe/vG7/YWzz |title=Bill 39{{Snd}} An act to establish a new electoral system |website=[[National Assembly of Québec]] |access-date=2019-10-22}}</ref>

Was this referendum successful, then the first legislature to be elected under [[mixed-member proportional]] would have been the 44th, in October 2026 at the latest.

According to the bill, the [[National Assembly of Quebec|National Assembly]] would have kept 125 members. Of the 125 members, 80 would have been elected by receiving a plurality of votes in single-member districts matching the 78 [[Quebec federal electoral districts|federal ridings]] with the addition of 2 unique districts: [[Îles-de-la-Madeleine (provincial electoral district)|Îles-de-la-Madeleine]] and [[Ungava (electoral district)|Ungava]]). The remaining 45 members would have been chosen according to their order in a regional party list. All 17 [[List of regions of Quebec|regions of Québec]] would have been guaranteed at least one MNA.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/1484171/reforme-mode-scrutin-montreal-regions-quebec-politique|title = Réforme du mode de scrutin : Montréal perdra trois sièges au bénéfice des régions}}</ref>

{| class="wikitable sortable" style=text-align:center
!Federal region
! [[List of regions of Quebec|Provincial region]]
! District MNAs
! Regional MNAs
! % of <br />electors
! % of<br />MNAs
|-
|[[Canadian federal election results in Eastern Quebec|Eastern Quebec]]
| [[Gaspésie–Îles-de-la-Madeleine]] || 2|| 1 || 1.2% || 2.4%
|-
|[[Canadian federal election results in Eastern Quebec|Eastern Quebec]]
| [[Bas-Saint-Laurent]] || 2 || 1 || 2.6% || 2.4%
|-
|[[Canadian federal election results in Quebec City|Quebec City]]
| [[Capitale-Nationale]] || 7 || 4 || 9.2% || 8.8%
|-
|[[Canadian federal election results in Quebec City|Quebec City]]
| [[Chaudière-Appalaches]] || 4 || 3 || 5.4% || 5.4%
|-
|[[Canadian federal election results in the Eastern Townships|Eastern Townships]]
| [[Centre-du-Québec]]|| 3 || 2 || 3.1% || 4.0%
|-
|[[Canadian federal election results in the Eastern Townships|Eastern Townships]]
| [[Estrie]] || 3 || 2 || 4.0% || 4.0%
|-
|[[Canadian federal election results in Montérégie|Montérégie]]
| [[Montérégie]] || 14 || 8 || 18.9% || 17.6%
|-
|[[Hochelaga Archipelago|Hochelaga]] ([[Canadian federal election results in Eastern Montreal|East Montreal]], [[Canadian federal election results in Western Montreal|West<br />Montreal]], [[Canadian federal election results in Northern Montreal and Laval|North Montreal & Laval]])
| [[Montreal]] || 16 || 8 || 21.5% || 19.2%
|-
|[[Hochelaga Archipelago|Hochelaga]] ([[Canadian federal election results in Eastern Montreal|East Montreal]], [[Canadian federal election results in Western Montreal|West<br />Montreal]], [[Canadian federal election results in Northern Montreal and Laval|North Montreal & Laval]])
| [[Laval, Quebec|Laval]] || 4 || 2 || 5.0% || 4.8%
|-
|[[Canadian federal election results in the Côte-Nord and Saguenay|Côte-Nord and Saguenay]]
| [[Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean]] || 3 || 2 || 3.6% || 4.0%
|-
|[[Canadian federal election results in the Côte-Nord and Saguenay|Côte-Nord and Saguenay]]
| [[Côte-Nord]] || 1 || 1 || 1.1% || 1.6%
|-
|[[Canadian federal election results in Central Quebec|Central Quebec]]
| [[Mauricie]] || 3 || 2 ||3.5 % || 4.0%
|-
|[[Canadian federal election results in Central Quebec|Central Quebec]]
| [[Lanaudière]] || 5 || 3 ||6.3 % || 6.4%
|-
|[[Canadian federal election results in the Laurentides, Outaouais and Northern Quebec|The Laurentides, Outaouais <br />and Northern Quebec]]
| [[Laurentides]] || 6 || 3 ||7.6 % || 7.2%
|-
|[[Canadian federal election results in the Laurentides, Outaouais and Northern Quebec|The Laurentides, Outaouais <br />and Northern Quebec]]
| [[Outaouais]] || 4 || 2 ||4.6 % || 4.8%
|-
|[[Canadian federal election results in the Laurentides, Outaouais and Northern Quebec|The Laurentides, Outaouais <br />and Northern Quebec]]
| [[Abitibi-Témiscamingue]] || 2 || 1 || 1.9% || 2.4%
|-
|[[Canadian federal election results in the Laurentides, Outaouais and Northern Quebec|The Laurentides, Outaouais <br />and Northern Quebec]]
| [[Nord-du-Québec]]|| 1 || 0 || 0.5% || 0.8%
|-
| style="text-align:right;background-color:#FFFFFF;" colspan="2"| '''TOTAL''' || style="text-align:center;background-color:#FFFFFF;"|'''80''' || style="text-align:center;background-color:#FFFFFF;"|'''45''' || style="text-align:right;background-color:#FFFFFF;" colspan="2"|
|}
|}


Revision as of 18:51, 15 January 2022

2022 Quebec general election
← 2018 On or before October 3, 2022 (2022-10-03)
125 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec
63 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader François Legault Dominique Anglade Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois[a]
Party Coalition Avenir Québec Liberal Québec solidaire
Leader since November 4, 2011 May 11, 2020 May 21, 2017
Leader's seat L'Assomption Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Gouin
Last election 74 seats, 37.42% 31 seats, 24.82% 10 seats, 16.10%
Current seats 74 27 10
Seats needed Steady Increase36 Increase53
 
Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon Éric Duhaime
Party Parti Québécois Conservative
Leader since October 9, 2020 April 17, 2021
Leader's seat Running in TBA Running in TBA
Last election 10 seats, 17.06% 0 seats, 1.46%
Current seats 7 1
Seats needed Increase55 Increase62
Incumbent Premier

François Legault
Coalition Avenir Québec



The 2022 Quebec general election is scheduled to take place on or before October 3, 2022, to elect the members of the National Assembly of Quebec. Under the province's fixed election date law, passed in 2013, "the general election following the end of a Legislature shall be held on the first Monday of October of the fourth calendar year following the year that includes the last day of the previous Legislature",[2] setting the date for October 3, 2022. The Lieutenant Governor of Quebec may still dissolve the legislature before that time on the advice of the Premier, in accordance with the usual conventions of the Westminster parliamentary system.

Background

The 2018 general election resulted in a victory for the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) led by François Legault, which won 74 of 125 seats, giving the party a majority and unseating Philippe Couillard's Liberal Party after a single term in office. Couillard subsequently resigned as Liberal leader and was replaced on an interim basis by Pierre Arcand until his successor was chosen.[3][4]

Both the Parti Québécois and Québec solidaire won ten seats each, fewer than the twelve needed for official party status; Parti Québécois leader Jean-François Lisée, defeated in his bid for re-election, resigned as party leader, replaced on an interim basis by Pascal Bérubé until his successor was chosen.[5][6] Adrien D. Pouliot, leader of the Conservative Party of Quebec, is stepping down as leader on October 16, 2020.

Following Couillard's resignation, the Quebec Liberal Party held a leadership race. Dominique Anglade, former Deputy Premier of Quebec, was acclaimed leader of the party after her only rival, former mayor of Drummondville, Alexandre Cusson, stepped down. Following a leadership race, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon was elected leader of the sovereignist party by the members and supporters of the Parti Québécois.

Current standings

Summary of the current standings of the
National Assembly of Quebec
Party Party leader Seats
2018 Current
Coalition Avenir Québec François Legault 74 74
Liberal Dominique Anglade 31 27
Québec solidaire Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
Manon Massé 		10 10
Parti Québécois Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 10 7
Conservative Éric Duhaime 0 1
  Independent 0 5
  Vacant 1
Total 125 125

Timeline

Changes in seats held (2018–Present)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Roberval October 4, 2018[3] Philippe Couillard █ Liberal Resignation[a 1] December 10, 2018[7] Nancy Guillemette █ CAQ
Chomedey October 5, 2018[8][9] Guy Ouellette █ Liberal Expelled from caucus[a 2] █ Independent
Marie-Victorin March 11, 2019[10] Catherine Fournier █ Parti Québécois Resigned from caucus[a 3] █ Independent
Jean-Talon August 30, 2019[11] Sébastien Proulx █ Liberal Resignation[a 4] December 2, 2019[12] Joëlle Boutin █ CAQ
Rimouski December 15, 2020[13] Harold LeBel █ Parti Québécois Expelled from caucus[a 5] █ Independent
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata December 17, 2020[14] Denis Tardif █ CAQ Expelled from caucus[a 6] █ Independent
April 12, 2021[15] █ Independent Reinstated █ CAQ
Rousseau March 30, 2021[16] Louis-Charles Thouin █ CAQ Withdrew from caucus[a 7] █ Independent
Bonaventure June 4, 2021[17] Sylvain Roy █ Parti Québécois Withdrew from caucus[a 8] █ Independent
Iberville June 15, 2021[18] Claire Samson █ CAQ Expelled from caucus[a 9] █ Conservative
Maurice-Richard November 1, 2021[19] Marie Montpetit █ Liberal Expelled from caucus[a 10] █ Independent
Marie-Victorin November 1, 2021[20] Catherine Fournier █ Independent Resignation[a 11] █ Vacant
  1. ^ from positions of Liberal Party leader and MNA
  2. ^ for allegedly leaking confidential information to the CAQ in 2016
  3. ^ claiming that the party had lost its way ideologically
  4. ^ to spend more time with family
  5. ^ amid further investigations relating to sexual assault allegations
  6. ^ for breaking COVID-19 restrictions
  7. ^ amid an ethics probe
  8. ^ amid disagreements with party leadership
  9. ^ after giving a donation to the Conservative Party of Quebec
  10. ^ after allegations of workplace harassment
  11. ^ to run for Mayor of Longueuil

2018

2020

Opinion polls

Voting intentions in Quebec since the 2018 election
Polling organisation Last date of polling Source Sample size Margin of Error CAQ Liberal PQ QS Other Lead
Mainstreet January 8, 2022 HTML 1,024 — 38 20 10 19 13[b] 16
Léger November 28, 2021 PDF 1,024 3.1% 46 20 13 13 8[c] 26
Angus Reid October 3, 2021 HTML 716 — 37 21 10 15 17[d] 16
Léger September 29, 2021 PDF 1,008 3.1% 47 20 11 11 11[e] 27
Synopsis Recherche August 30, 2021 HTML 1,500 — 49 16 9 14 12[f] 33
Angus Reid June 8, 2021 PDF 679 — 41 21 11 14 12[g] 20
CAQ announce bill 96 which will be strengthening Bill 101, the French language law. (12 May 2021)
Leger May 1, 2021 HTML 1,015 ±3.1% 46 20 12 14 9[h] 26
Éric Duhaime is elected as leader of the Conservative Party of Quebec (17 April 2021)
Mainstreet February 9, 2021 PDF 1,012 ±3.08% 48 21 11 12 8 27
Leger December 13, 2020 PDF 1,004 ±3.1% 49 22 14 11 5 27
Angus Reid November 30, 2020 PDF 768 — 38 23 15 10 12[i] 13
Leger November 25, 2020 HTML 1,000 ±3.1% 44 23 14 12 7 21
Leger October 18, 2020 PDF 1,011 ±3.1% 50 18 16 13 3 32
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is elected as leader of the Parti Québécois (9 October 2020)
Leger September 3, 2020 PDF 1,000 ±3.1% 48 22 17 11 3 26
EKOS August 28, 2020 HTML 5,039 ±1.53% 57 17 11 9 6 40
Innovative Research Group July 20, 2020 PDF 565 — 38 29 17 9 8 11
EKOS July 3, 2020 HTML 1,870 ±2.5% 59 19 8 9 5 40
Innovative Research Group June 23, 2020 PDF 263 — 39 29 21 5 7 10
Leger June 21, 2020 PDF 1,002 ±3.0% 51 22 14 10 4 29
Innovative Research Group June 1, 2020 PDF 257 — 38 28 16 9 9 10
Leger May 25, 2020 HTML 1,203 — 54 22 11 8 5 32
Angus Reid May 24, 2020 HTML 739 — 50 22 11 10 7[j] 28
Dominique Anglade is elected as leader of the Quebec Liberal Party (11 May 2020)
Innovative Research Group May 5, 2020 PDF 257 — 35 32 17 8 6 3
EKOS March 26, 2020 HTML 578 ±4.1% 51.9 19.2 14.4 10.4 4 32.7
Leger March 16, 2020 PDF 1,006 ±3.1% 46 22 18 10 3 24
State of emergency declared due to the COVID-19 pandemic (13 March 2020)
Angus Reid February 28, 2020 PDF 638 ±3.7% 36 22 17 16 9[k] 14
Leger February 17, 2020 PDF 1,017 ±3.1% 40 28 18 15 — 12
Leger January 15, 2020 HTML 1,202 ±2.8% 42 23 19 11 5 19
CAQ wins the by-election in Jean-Talon (2 December 2019)
Leger November 25, 2019 HTML 1,000 ±3.1% 38 27 19 10 6 11
Forum July 24, 2019 PDF 977 ±3% 42 22 12 15 10 20
Mainstreet July 2, 2019 HTML 871 ±3.32% 47.8 21.7 10.5 14.5 5.6 26.1
CAQ passes Bill 21 "An Act respecting the laicity of the State" (16 June 2019)
Forum June 12, 2019 PDF 1,407–71 ±2.5% 46 16 13 19 6 24
Leger May 21, 2019 HTML 979 ±3% 46 23 14 13 4 23
Mainstreet March 21, 2019 PDF 940 ±3.20% 45.3 22.3 10.4 14.7 7.2 23.0
Leger March 11, 2019 PDF[dead link] 1,014 ±3.08% 44 21 15 15 5 23
Leger January 28, 2019 PDF[dead link] 1,007 ±3.09% 42 22 18 15 3 20
Mainstreet January 18, 2019 PDF 979 ±3.13% 44.5 26.1 8.9 15.8 4.8 18.4
CAQ wins the by-election in Roberval (10 December 2018)
Mainstreet November 7, 2018 HTML 896 ±3.27% 39.4 22.8 14.1 19.0 4.7 16.6
2018 election October 1, 2018 4,033,538 37.4 24.8 17.1 16.1 4.6 12.6

Notes

  1. ^ Québec solidaire designates Nadeau-Dubois and Manon Massé as co-spokespeople. Nadeau-Dubois is the person most likely to be the party's candidate for premier during the next general election. The party's power is held by the general meetings of the members and a board of 16 directors; the de jure leader recognized by the Chief Electoral Officer of Quebec (DGE) is Gaétan Châteauneuf.[1]
  2. ^ Including PCQ at 13%
  3. ^ Including PCQ at 5%
  4. ^ Including PCQ at 11% and PVQ at 3%
  5. ^ Including PCQ at 8%
  6. ^ Including PCQ at 9%
  7. ^ Including PCQ at 8% and PVQ at 3%
  8. ^ Including PCQ at 6%
  9. ^ Including PCQ at 9% and PVQat 2%
  10. ^ Including PCQ at 3%
  11. ^ Including PCQ at 3%

References

  1. ^ "Québec solidaire". Élections Québec. Retrieved June 20, 2017.
  2. ^ An Act to amend the Election Act for the purpose of establishing fixed-date elections, L.Q. 2013, c. 13, s. 3
  3. ^ a b Hinkson, Kamila (October 4, 2018). "Philippe Couillard steps down, making way for a 'new generation' of Quebec Liberals". CBC News. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  4. ^ a b Authier, Philip (October 5, 2018). "New interim Liberal leader Pierre Arcand takes aim at CAQ and QS". Montreal Gazette. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  5. ^ a b Stober, Eric; Laframboise, Kalina (October 1, 2018). "Parti Québécois Leader Jean-François Lisée steps down after losing own riding of Rosemont". Global News. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  6. ^ a b "Pascal Bérubé named interim Parti Québécois leader". CBC News. October 9, 2018. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  7. ^ "Roberval elects CAQ candidate Nancy Guillemette". CTV News. December 11, 2018. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  8. ^ "Guy Ouellette expelled from Liberal caucus". CBC News. October 5, 2018. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  9. ^ "'Destroyed' by investigation, Guy Ouellette sues Quebec government for $550K". CBC News. November 22, 2018. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  10. ^ "'They've lost their way': PQ MNA Catherine Fournier quits party". CTV Montreal. March 11, 2019. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  11. ^ Authier, Philip (2019-08-31). "Former Liberal minister Sébastien Proulx announces he's leaving politics". Montreal Gazette. Retrieved 2019-09-12.
  12. ^ "Liberal stronghold in Quebec City falls to the CAQ in by-election". CTV News Montreal, December 2, 2019.
  13. ^ "Harold LeBel removed from Parti Québécois caucus following arrest". Rimouski: Global News. December 15, 2020. Retrieved April 20, 2021.
  14. ^ "Quebec MNA out of CAQ caucus after flouting coronavirus rules". Rivière-du-Loup: Global News. December 17, 2020. Retrieved April 20, 2021.
  15. ^ "Denis Tardif réintègre le caucus caquiste" (in Canadian French). Rivière-du-Loup: Le Journal de Québec. April 12, 2021. Retrieved April 20, 2021.
  16. ^ "Rousseau MNA Louis-Charles Thouin withdraws from CAQ caucus amid ethics probe".
  17. ^ Roy, Sylvain. "Sylvain Roy on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved 4 June 2021.
  18. ^ "Claire Samson booted from CAQ caucus over donation to rival party". June 16, 2021. Retrieved June 17, 2021.
  19. ^ "Quebec Liberals eject Marie Montpetit from caucus over harassment allegations | CBC News".
  20. ^ "Élection de Catherine Fournier | QS ne laissera pas le champ libre à St-Pierre Plamondon dans Marie-Victorin". 8 November 2021.
  21. ^ "Quebec Liberal Party suspends its leadership contest due to COVID-19 pandemic". CTV News. Canadian Press. March 20, 2020. Retrieved March 29, 2020.
  22. ^ "Dominique Anglade couronnée à la tête du Parti libéral". TVA Nouvelles. Retrieved 2020-05-11.
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