Jump to content

2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska: Difference between revisions

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Content deleted Content added
No edit summary
Tag: Reverted
Undid revision 1239568095 by Leunghoching1234567 (talk)
Line 1: Line 1:
{{Short description|none}}
{{Infobox election
{{Use mdy dates|date=July 2021}}
| election_name = 2024年內布拉斯加州聯邦參議員選舉
{{for|related races|2024 United States Senate elections}}{{For|the other Senate election in Nebraska held in parallel|2024 United States Senate special election in Nebraska}}{{Infobox election
| countr = Nebraska
| election_name = 2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska
| country = Nebraska
| type = presidential
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| ongoing =
| previous_election = 2018年內布拉斯加州聯邦參議員選舉
| previous_election = 2018
| previous_year = 2018
| previous_year = 2018
| next_election = 2030年內布拉斯加州聯邦參議員選舉
| next_election = 2030
| next_yea = 2030
| = 2030
| election_date = 2024年11月5
| election_date = 5
| image1 = Deb Fischer, official portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg
| image1 = Deb Fischer, official portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg
| nominee1 = [[黛比·菲希爾]]
| nominee1 = [[]]
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote =
| =
| percentage1 =
| percentage1 =
| image2 = Osborn Headshot 1 (cropped).jpg
| image2 = Osborn Headshot 1 (cropped).jpg
| nominee2 = 丹·奧斯本
| nominee2 =
| party2 = Independent (US)
| party2 = Independent ()
| popular_vote2 =
| popular_vote2 =
| percentage2 =
| percentage2 =
| map_image =
| map_image =
| map_size =
| map_size =
| map_caption = 縣結果
| map_caption =
| title = 聯邦參議員
| title =
| before_election = [[黛比·菲希爾]]
| before_election = [[]]
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election =
| after_election =
| after_party =
| after_party =
}}
}}
{{ElectionsNE}}
‘’’2024年內布拉斯加州聯邦參議員選舉’’’將於2024年11月5日舉行,選舉一名[[內布拉斯加州]][[美國參議院|聯邦參議員]]。<ref>{{Cite web |title=United States Senate elections, 2024 |url=https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_elections,_2024 |access-date=2022-07-12 |website=Ballotpedia |language=en}}</ref> 現任[[共和黨 (美國)|共和黨]]聯邦參議員[[黛布·黛比·菲希爾]]於[[2012年內布拉斯加州聯邦參議員選舉|2012年]]首次當選,以填補即將退休的民主黨人[[本·尼爾森]]的席位並在[[2018年內布拉斯加州聯邦參議員選舉|2018年]]中當選連任。 儘管費雪先前承諾退休,但他仍將尋求第三次連任。<ref>{{cite web|last=Walton|first=Don|title=Fischer says she’ll seek third Senate term in 2024|url=https://journalstar.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/fischer-says-shell-seek-third-senate-term-in-2024/article_67698823-1f83-5eab-ae8b-2c0ba1b9c85a.html|access-date=2021-05-14|website=JournalStar.com|date=May 14, 2021 |language=en}}</ref> 這是自[[1954年美國參議院選舉|1954年]]以來第一次,也是自[[1952年美國參議院選舉|1952年]]以來第二次內布拉斯加州的兩個美國參議院席位同時進行選舉。 初選於2024年5月14日舉行。<ref>{{Cite web |title=2024 State Primary Election Dates |url=https://www.ncsl.org/elections-and-campaigns/2024-state-primary-election-dates |access-date=2023-05-13 |website=www.ncsl.org}}</ref>

== 共和黨初選 ==
The '''2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska''' will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the [[United States Senate]] to represent the [[Nebraska|state of Nebraska]].<ref>{{Cite web |title=United States Senate elections, 2024 |url=https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_elections,_2024 |access-date=2022-07-12 |website=Ballotpedia |language=en}}</ref> Since there will also be a [[2024 United States Senate special election in Nebraska|special election for Nebraska’s other Senate seat]], this marks the first time since [[1954 United States Senate elections|1954]] where both of Nebraska's U.S. Senate seats were concurrently up for election. Primary elections took place on May 14, 2024.<ref>{{Cite web |title=2024 State Primary Election Dates |url=https://www.ncsl.org/elections-and-campaigns/2024-state-primary-election-dates |access-date=2023-05-13 |website=www.ncsl.org}}</ref>
=== 候選人 ===

===初選結果===
Incumbent [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] Senator [[Deb Fischer]] was first elected in [[2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska|2012]] to fill the seat of retiring Democrat [[Ben Nelson]] and was re-elected in [[2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska|2018]]. Fischer will seek a third term, despite having previously pledged to retire.<ref>{{cite web|last=Walton|first=Don|title=Fischer says she'll seek third Senate term in 2024|url=https://journalstar.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/fischer-says-shell-seek-third-senate-term-in-2024/article_67698823-1f83-5eab-ae8b-2c0ba1b9c85a.html|access-date=2021-05-14|website=JournalStar.com|date=May 14, 2021 |language=en}}</ref>
{{Election box begin no change|title=共和黨初選結果<ref name=primaryresults>{{cite web |title=Unofficial Results: Primary Election – May 14, 2024 |url=https://electionresults.nebraska.gov/resultsSW.aspx?text=Race&type=SW&map=CTY |publisher=[[Secretary of State of Nebraska]] |access-date=15 May 2024}}</ref>}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
[[Dan Osborn]], an industrial mechanic and union leader who led the [[2021 Kellogg's strike|strike at Kellogg's Omaha plant in 2021]], is running as an independent. No Democrats filed to run for the seat, which created speculation that Democrats may support Osborn in the general election.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://central.newschannelnebraska.com/story/50378066/despite-gun-divide-dems-leaning-toward-osborn-for-senate|title=Despite gun divide Dems leaning toward Osborn for Senate|website=central.newschannelnebraska.com}}</ref> However, due to Osborn's rejection of all party support, state party chair [[Jane Kleeb]] stated that they would look for a write-in candidate.<ref name="Spurns">{{cite web|url=https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2024/05/15/dan-osborn-spurns-democrats-other-parties-whose-help-he-sought-in-senate-race/|title=Dan Osborn spurns Democrats, other parties whose help he sought in Senate race|last=Sanderford|first=Aaron|date=May 15, 2024|access-date=May 15, 2024|website=[[States Newsroom|Nebraska Examiner]]}}</ref>
|candidate = [[黛比·菲希爾]] (現任)

|party = Republican Party (United States)
==Republican primary==
|votes = 174820
===Candidates===
|percentage = 79.8
====Nominee====
}}
* [[Deb Fischer]], incumbent U.S. senator (2013–present)<ref>{{cite news |url=https://ruralradio.com/krvn/news/sen-deb-fischer-officially-announces-run-for-a-third-term/ |work=[[KRVN (AM)|KRVN]] |date=28 June 2023 |access-date=28 June 2023 |title=Sen. Deb Fischer officially announces run for a third term}}</ref>
{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|candidate = 阿倫·科瓦爾斯基
==== Eliminated in primary ====
|party = Republican Party (United States)
* Arron Kowalski, cattle farmer and perennial candidate<ref name="NE2024">{{cite news |title=Nebraska Statewide Candidate List |url=https://sos.nebraska.gov/elections/information-candidates |publisher=Nebraska Secretary of State |date=January 5, 2024}}</ref>
|votes = 44334

|percentage=20.2
===Endorsements===
}}
{{Endorsements box
{{Election box total no change
| title = Deb Fischer
|votes = 219154
| width = 50em
|percentage=100.
| list =
;U.S. Executive branch officials
*[[Kellyanne Conway]], former Senior [[Counselor to the President]] (2017–2020)<ref name="conway">{{Cite web |last=World-Herald |first=Martha Stoddard Omaha |date=2023-09-21 |title=Former Trump adviser Conway endorses Nebraska's Fischer |url=https://starherald.com/news/state-regional/government-politics/former-trump-adviser-conway-endorses-nebraskas-fischer/article_65b0012e-9408-5c61-82ac-971db6891b63.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230922191018/https://starherald.com/news/state-regional/government-politics/former-trump-adviser-conway-endorses-nebraskas-fischer/article_65b0012e-9408-5c61-82ac-971db6891b63.html |archive-date=2023-09-22 |access-date=2023-09-22 |website=Star-Herald |language=en}}</ref>

;U.S. senators
*[[Pete Ricketts]], [[U.S. senator]] from [[Nebraska]] (2023–present)<ref name="conway" />

;State executive officials
*[[Dave Heineman]], former [[governor of Nebraska]] (2005–2015)<ref name="conway" />
*[[Kay Orr]], former [[governor of Nebraska]] (1987–1991)<ref name="conway" />
*[[Jim Pillen]], [[Governor of Nebraska]] (2023–present)<ref name="conway" />

;Organizations
*[[American Israel Public Affairs Committee]] (AIPAC)<ref name=aipac>{{Cite web |url=https://candidates.aipacpac.org/page/featured/ |title=Support Pro-Israel Candidates |access-date=2023-04-07 |website=[[AIPAC]] PAC}}</ref>
*[[Maggie's List]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=The Messenger: A PAC Dedicated to Electing GOP Women Issues First Wave of 2024 Endorsements (Exclusive) |url=http://maggieslist.org/press/the-messenger-a-pac-dedicated-to-electing-gop-women-issues-first-wave-of-2024-endorsements-exclusive |access-date=2023-06-25 |website=maggieslist.org}}</ref>
*[[National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund]]<ref name="NRANBendorse">{{Cite web |last=NRA-PVF |title=NRA-PVF {{!}} Grades {{!}} Nebraska |url=https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/nebraska |access-date=2024-05-06 |website=NRA-PVF |language=en}}</ref>
*[[American Farm Bureau Federation|Nebraska Farm Bureau]]<ref>{{Cite web |date=2024-02-18 |title=U.S. Sen. Fischer Earns Nebraska Farm Bureau Endorsement |url=https://ruralradio.com/ktic/news/u-s-sen-fischer-earns-nebraska-farm-bureau-endorsement/ |access-date=2024-02-18 |website=KTIC 840 AM/98.3 FM/98.7 FM |language=en-US}}</ref>
*[[United States Chamber of Commerce|U.S. Chamber of Commerce]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.uschamber.com/improving-government/elections/u-s-chamber-endorses-sen-deb-fischer-for-u-s-senate-in-nebraska|title=U.S. Chamber Endorses Sen. Deb Fischer for U.S. Senate in Nebraska|website=U.S. Chamber of Commerce|date=May 10, 2024}}</ref>
;Labor unions
*[[Omaha Police Department|Omaha Police Officers]] Association<ref name="nebraskaafl" />
}}
}}

===Fundraising===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|-
! colspan=4 |Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
|- style="text-align:center;"
!Candidate
!Raised
!Spent
!Cash on hand
|-
|{{party shading/Republican}}|Deb Fischer (R)
|$5,694,779
|$3,512,236
|$2,694,160
|-
! colspan="4" |<small>Source: [[Federal Election Commission]]<ref name="FEC" /></small>
|}

=== Results ===
[[File:2024 United States Senate Republican primary election in Nebraska results map by county.svg|thumb|250px|Primary results by county
{{collapsible list
|title={{legend|#E27F7F|Fischer}}
|{{legend|#D75D5D|60–70%}}
|{{legend|#D72F30|70–80%}}
|{{legend|#C21B18|80–90%}}
}}]]
{{Election box begin no change|title=Republican primary results<ref name=primaryresults>{{cite web |title=Official Results: Primary Election - May 14, 2024 |url=https://sos.nebraska.gov/sites/default/files/doc/elections/2024/2024%20Primary%20Canvass%20Book.pdf |publisher=[[Secretary of State of Nebraska]] |access-date=17 June 2024}}</ref>}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=[[Deb Fischer]] (incumbent)|votes=174,820|percentage=79.8%}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Arron Kowalski|votes=44,334|percentage=20.2%}}
{{Election box total no change|votes=219,154|percentage=100.0%}}
{{Election box end}}
{{Election box end}}

== 現在大麻合法化黨初選 ==
==Democratic primary==
=== 候選人 ===
Due to Dan Osborn's independent candidacy, the [[Nebraska Democratic Party]] had originally not intended to field a candidate, planning to endorse Osborn on May 18. However, on May 15, Osborn stated that he would not accept the help of any political party.<ref name="Spurns"/> This led to a condemnation by state party chair [[Jane Kleeb]], who said that Osborn had previously promised to work with them in exchange for them not running a candidate. Due to Osborn's announcement taking place the day after the state's primary, Kleeb announced that they would be looking for a write-in candidate to run under the party banner in November.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://nebraskademocrats.org/blog/nebraska-democratic-party-statement-on-dan-osborn/|title=Nebraska Democratic Party Statement on Dan Osborn|date=May 15, 2024|access-date=May 15, 2024}}</ref>
===初選結果===

{{Election box begin no change|title=現在大麻合法化黨初選結果<ref name=primaryresults/>}}
==Independents==
{{ Election box candidate with party link
===Declared===
|candidate = 克里·艾迪
*[[Dan Osborn]], mechanic and former president of [[Bakery, Confectionery, Tobacco Workers and Grain Millers International Union]] Local 50G<ref>{{cite news |work=[[Nebraska Examiner]] |access-date=September 21, 2023 |date=September 21, 2023 |last=Hammel |first=Paul |url=https://nebraskaexaminer.com/briefs/omaha-steamfitter-union-leader-dan-osborn-to-challenge-incumbent-u-s-sen-deb-fischer/ |title=Omaha steamfitter/union leader Dan Osborn to challenge incumbent U.S. Sen. Deb. Fischer}}</ref>
|party = Nebraska Legal Marijuana NOW Party

|votes = 743
===Endorsements===
|percentage = 70.8
{{Endorsements box
}}
| title = Dan Osborn
{{Election box candidate with party link
| width = 50em
|candidate = 肯·彼得森
| list =
|party = Nebraska Legal Marijuana NOW Party
;Labor unions
|votes = 306
*[[Bakery, Confectionery, Tobacco Workers and Grain Millers International Union]] Local 50G<ref name = BR13mar24>{{cite web |last = Early |first = Steve |title = Dan Osborn Challenges Nebraska's Political Establishment with a Blue-Collar Agenda |publisher = Barn Raising Media |date = March 13, 2024 |url = https://barnraisingmedia.com/dan-osborn-nebraska-senate-labor-right-to-repair-working-class-agenda/ |accessdate = March 13, 2024}}</ref>
|percentage = 29.2
*[[Communications Workers of America]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=2024 Nebraska {{!}} CWA Endorsed Candidates {{!}} Communications Workers of America |url=https://cwa-union.org/national-issues/legislation-and-politics/cwa-political/candidates-ne |access-date=2024-05-09 |website=cwa-union.org |language=en}}</ref>
}}
*[[International Union of Elevator Constructors]] Local 28<ref name = BR13mar24/>
{{Election box total no change
*Nebraska [[AFL-CIO]]<ref name="nebraskaafl">{{Cite web |title=Dan Osborn says he has the signatures needed to reach Nebraska's fall ballot as a U.S. Senate candidate |url=https://nebraskaexaminer.com/briefs/dan-osborn-says-he-has-the-signatures-needed-to-reach-nebraskas-fall-ballot-as-a-u-s-senate-candidate/ |access-date=2024-03-28 |website=Nebraska Examiner |language=en-US}}</ref>
|votes = 1049
*[[Omaha Police Department|Omaha Police Officers]] Association<ref>{{cite web | url=https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/04/15/dan-osborn-running-for-senate-nebraska/73245704007/ | title=Nebraska steamfitter running for U.S. Senate against GOP incumbent is gaining traction }}</ref>
|percentage = 100
*[[Office and Professional Employees International Union]]<ref name = BR13mar24/>
*[[United Auto Workers]]<ref>https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2024/06/10/kamala-harris-sizes-up-her-competition-00162458</ref>
*3 [[United Association]] locals{{efn|Plumbers Local 16, Sprinkler Fitters Local 699, and Steamfitters Local 664}}<ref name = BR13mar24/>
}}
}}

===Fundraising===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|-
! colspan=4 |Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
|- style="text-align:center;"
!Candidate
!Raised
!Spent
!Cash on hand
|-
|{{party shading/Independent (US)}}|Dan Osborn (I)
|$812,114
|$427,220
|$384,894
|-
! colspan="4" |<small>Source: [[Federal Election Commission]]<ref name="FEC" /></small>
|}

==Legal Marijuana NOW primary==
The Legal Marijuana NOW primary attracted controversy, with one candidate, Kerry Eddy, admitting that she entered the race with the intention of winning the nomination and then dropping out. Eddy, who was a registered Democrat until March 2024, supports independent candidate [[Dan Osborn]], and feared that the Legal Marijuana NOW Party's nominee could [[Vote splitting|pull votes away from Osborn]], who supports legalizing marijuana. Party chair [[Mark Elworth Jr.]] denounced Eddy's plan as "shenangians." The party instead supported Ken Peterson, who had been recruited to run by Elworth. Peterson alleged that supporters of Osborn had repeatedly urged him to drop out of the race. Osborn's campaign denied having any involvement in the Legal Marijuana NOW primary, though a pro-Osborn super PAC spent over $30,000 supporting Eddy's campaign.<ref>{{cite news |access-date=May 14, 2024 |title=In the Nebraska marijuana party's Senate primary, 'a daring plan' angers loyalists |author=Wegley, Andrew |date=May 12, 2024 |work=[[Lincoln Journal Star]] |url=https://journalstar.com/news/state-regional/government-politics/in-the-nebraska-marijuana-partys-senate-primary-a-daring-plan-angers-loyalists/article_87aa6d96-0e11-11ef-8828-47a8e9f41ecb.html}}</ref>

===Withdrew after nomination===
*Kerry Eddy, administrative coordinator ''(endorsed Osborn)''<ref name = leaves>{{cite news |work=[[Nebraska Examiner]] |access-date=August 1, 2024 |url=https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2024/07/30/kerry-eddy-leaves-nebraskas-u-s-senate-race-endorses-osborn-over-fischer/ |date=July 30, 2024 |author=Sanderford, Aaron |title=Kerry Eddy leaves Nebraska’s U.S. Senate race, endorses Osborn over Fischer}}</ref>

===Eliminated in primary===
*Ken Peterson, compost facility attendant<ref name=NE2024/>

===Fundraising===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|-
! colspan=4 |Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
|- style="text-align:center;"
!Candidate
!Raised
!Spent
!Cash on hand
|-
|{{party shading/Legal Marijuana Now}}|Kerry Eddy (LMN)
|$16,384
|$922
|$15,462
|-
! colspan="4" |<small>Source: [[Federal Election Commission]]<ref name="FEC" /></small>
|}

===Results===
{{Election box begin no change|title=Legal Marijuana NOW primary results<ref name=primaryresults/>}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change|party=Nebraska Legal Marijuana NOW Party|candidate=Kerry Eddy|votes=743|percentage=70.8%}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Nebraska Legal Marijuana NOW Party|candidate=Ken Peterson|votes=306|percentage=29.2%}}
{{Election box total no change|votes=1,049|percentage=100.0%}}
{{Election box end}}
{{Election box end}}

== 大選 ==
=== 候選人 ===
======
After Kerry Eddy won the May primary by a wide margin, she said she was re-evaluating whether or not to drop out of the race. Complicating Eddy's plan is that if she rejected the Legal Marijuana NOW Party's nomination, the party could simply name a replacement nominee. Mark Elworth Jr. has pledged to seek the party's nomination for Senate if Eddy drops out.<ref>{{cite news |access-date=May 15, 2024 |author=Wegley, Andrew |date=May 15, 2024 |title=Nebraska marijuana party candidate tied to Dan Osborn wins primary, mulls future |work=[[Lincoln Journal Star]] |url=https://journalstar.com/news/state-regional/government-politics/elections/nebraska-marijuana-party-candidate-tied-to-dan-osborn-wins-primary-mulls-future/article_1bc7bc56-1270-11ef-b2e0-a7c15e87f719.html}}</ref> It was also suggested that Elworth could use his ballot line to nominate a Democrat.<ref name="Spurns"/>
===選舉結果===

{{Election box begin|title=2024年內布拉斯加州聯邦參議員選舉結果}}
Eddy dropped out of the race on July 30 and endorsed Osborn. The party has until September 3 to name a replacement nominee.<ref name = leaves/>
{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|candidate = [[黛比·菲希爾]] (現任)
==Libertarian Party==
|party = Republican Party (United States)
In March 2024, independent candidate [[Dan Osborn]] sought the support of the [[Libertarian Party of Nebraska]]. However, he decided against this, instead running as an independent without any party's support.<ref name="Spurns"/>
|votes =

|percentage =
===Declined===
}}
*[[Dan Osborn]], mechanic and former president of [[Bakery, Confectionery, Tobacco Workers and Grain Millers International Union]] Local 50G ''(running as an independent)''<ref name="Spurns"/>
{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|candidate = [[丹·奧斯本]]
== General election ==
|party = Independent (United States)
===Predictions===
|votes =
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|percentage =
!Source
}}
!Ranking
{{Election box candidate with party link
!As of
|candidate = 克里·艾迪
|-
|party = Nebraska Legal Marijuana NOW Party
| align=left | [[The Cook Political Report]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=2024 Senate Race ratings |url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings |access-date=2023-01-25 |website=Cook Political Report |language=en}}</ref>
|votes =
| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|percentage =
|November 9, 2023
}}
|-
{{Election box total
| align=left | [[Inside Elections]]<ref name="Inside Elections">{{cite web |date=January 6, 2023|access-date=January 10, 2023 |title=Senate Ratings |url=https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate |publisher=[[Inside Elections]]}}</ref>
|votes =
| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|percentage =
|November 9, 2023
}}
|-
| align=left | [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]]<ref name="Sabato's Crystal Ball">{{cite web |date=January 24, 2023|access-date=February 13, 2023 |title=2024 Senate |url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2024-senate/ |publisher=[[Sabato's Crystal Ball]]}}</ref>
| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}
|November 9, 2023
|-
| align=left | [[Decision Desk HQ]]/[[The Hill (newspaper)|The Hill]]<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://elections2024.thehill.com/predictions/senate/ |title=2024 Senate prediction map |date=June 8, 2024 |website=elections2024.thehill.com/ |publisher=[[The Hill (newspaper)|The Hill]] |access-date=June 8, 2024}}</ref>
| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}
|June 8, 2024
|-
| align=left | [[Elections Daily]]<ref>{{Cite web |date=2023-08-01 |title=Election Ratings |url=https://elections-daily.com/election-ratings/ |access-date=2023-08-02 |website=Elections Daily |language=en-US}}</ref>
| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}
|May 4, 2023
|-
| align=left | [[CNalysis]]<ref>{{Cite web |title='24 Senate Forecast |url=https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/senate |access-date=November 21, 2023 |website=CNalysis |language=en-US}}</ref>
| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|November 21, 2023
|}
===Fundraising===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|-
! colspan=4 |Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
|- style="text-align:center;"
!Candidate
!Raised
!Spent
!Cash on hand
|-
|{{party shading/Republican}}|Deb Fisher (R)
|$6,263,797
|$3,778,940
|$2,996,473
|-
|{{party shading/Independent}}|Dan Osborn (I)
|$1,645,585
|$995,866
|$649,719
|-
! colspan="4" |<small>Source: [[Federal Election Commission]]<ref name="FEC">{{cite web |title=2024 Election United States Senate - Nebraska |url=https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/senate/NE/2024/|website=fec.gov |publisher=[[Federal Election Commission]] |access-date=August 5, 2024}}</ref></small>
|}

===Polling===
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
|- valign="bottom"
! Poll source
! Date(s)<br>administered
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name="Key"|Key:<br />A – all adults<br />RV – registered voters<br />LV – likely voters<br />V – unclear}}
! Margin<br>of error
! style="width:100px;" | Deb<br />Fischer (R)
! style="width:100px;" | Dan<br>Osborn (I)
! Undecided
|-
|style="text-align:left|[https://www.ketv.com/article/osborn-fischer-campaign-polls-show-drastically-different-results-in-senate-race/61670148 Red Wave Strategy Group/<br>Impact Research]{{Efn-ua|Poll commissioned by Osborn's campaign|name=Osborn}}
|July 8–11, 2024
|500 (RV)
|–
|'''42%'''
|'''42%'''
|16%
|-
| style="text-align:left;" |[https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240506_NE_PPP.pdf Public Policy Polling (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll commissioned by Osborn's campaign|name="Osborn"}}
|April 24–25, 2024
|737 (RV)
|± 3.6%
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''37%'''
|33%
|30%
|-
| style="text-align:left;" |[https://nebraskarailroaders.org/2023/11/18/updates/ Change Research (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll commissioned by Nebraska Railroaders for Public Safety, which supports Osborn|name="NRPS"}}
|November 13–16, 2023
|1,048 (LV)
|± 3.1%<ref>{{Cite web |title=Observers question poll indicating a close U.S. Senate race between Deb Fischer and Dan Osborn |url=https://nebraskapublicmedia.org/en/news/news-articles/observers-question-poll-indicating-a-close-us-senate-race-between-deb-fischer-and-dan-osborn/ |access-date=2024-06-12 |website=Nebraska Public Media |language=en}}</ref>
|38%
|{{party shading/Independent (US)}}|'''40%'''
|22%
|}

;Deb Fischer vs. Dan Osborn vs. Kerry Eddy
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
|- valign="bottom"
! Poll source
! Date(s)<br>administered
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name="Key"|Key:<br />A – all adults<br />RV – registered voters<br />LV – likely voters<br />V – unclear}}
! Margin<br>of error
! style="width:100px;" | Deb<br />Fischer (R)
! style="width:100px;" | Dan<br>Osborn (I)
! style="width:100px;" | Kerry<br>Eddy (LMN)
! Undecided
|-
|style="text-align:left|[https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2024/07/19/fischer-trump-lead-statewide-in-fischers-new-nebraska-poll/ Torchlight Strategies (R)]{{Efn-ua|Poll commissioned by Fischer's campaign|name=Fischer}}
|July 8–11, 2024
|698 (LV)
|± 3.7%
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''50%'''
|24%
|9%
|17%
|}

=== Results ===
{{Election box begin|title=2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=[[Deb Fischer]] (incumbent)|votes=|percentage=|change=}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Independent (United States)|candidate=[[Dan Osborn]]|votes=|percentage=|change=}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Nebraska Legal Marijuana NOW Party|candidate=TBA|votes=|percentage=|change=}}
{{Election box total|votes=|percentage=}}
{{Election box end}}
{{Election box end}}

== 參見 ==
== See also ==
*[[2024年美國參議院選舉]]
* [[2024 Nebraska elections]]
*[[2024年內拉斯加州聯邦參議員補選]]

*[[2024年內布拉斯加州聯邦眾議員選舉]]
==Notes==
*[[2024年內布拉斯加州州參議院選舉]]
{{notelist}}
*[[2024年內布拉斯加州州眾議院選舉]]
;Partisan clients
*[[2024年內布拉斯加州選舉]]
{{notelist-ua}}
== 參考資料 ==

{{Reflist|30em}}
== 外部連結 ==
====
{{Reflist}}
{{2024年美國選舉}}

[[Category:2024年美國參議院選舉]]
==External links==
;Official campaign websites
*[https://www.kerryeddy.com/ Kerry Eddy (LMN) for Senate]
*[https://www.debfornebraska.com/ Deb Fischer (R) for Senate]
*[https://osbornforsenate.com/ Dan Osborn (I) for Senate]

{{2024 United States elections}}

[[Category:United States Senate elections in Nebraska|2024]]
[[Category:2024 United States Senate elections|Nebraska]]
[[Category:2024 Nebraska elections|United States Senate]]

Revision as of 03:12, 10 August 2024

2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska

← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
 
Nominee Deb Fischer Dan Osborn
Party Republican Independent

Incumbent U.S. senator

Deb Fischer
Republican



The 2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Nebraska.[1] Since there will also be a special election for Nebraska’s other Senate seat, this marks the first time since 1954 where both of Nebraska's U.S. Senate seats were concurrently up for election. Primary elections took place on May 14, 2024.[2]

Incumbent Republican Senator Deb Fischer was first elected in 2012 to fill the seat of retiring Democrat Ben Nelson and was re-elected in 2018. Fischer will seek a third term, despite having previously pledged to retire.[3]

Dan Osborn, an industrial mechanic and union leader who led the strike at Kellogg's Omaha plant in 2021, is running as an independent. No Democrats filed to run for the seat, which created speculation that Democrats may support Osborn in the general election.[4] However, due to Osborn's rejection of all party support, state party chair Jane Kleeb stated that they would look for a write-in candidate.[5]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Arron Kowalski, cattle farmer and perennial candidate[7]

Endorsements

Deb Fischer
U.S. Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
State executive officials
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Deb Fischer (R) $5,694,779 $3,512,236 $2,694,160
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Results

Primary results by county
  Fischer
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Deb Fischer (incumbent) 174,820 79.8%
Republican Arron Kowalski 44,334 20.2%
Total votes 219,154 100.0%

Democratic primary

Due to Dan Osborn's independent candidacy, the Nebraska Democratic Party had originally not intended to field a candidate, planning to endorse Osborn on May 18. However, on May 15, Osborn stated that he would not accept the help of any political party.[5] This led to a condemnation by state party chair Jane Kleeb, who said that Osborn had previously promised to work with them in exchange for them not running a candidate. Due to Osborn's announcement taking place the day after the state's primary, Kleeb announced that they would be looking for a write-in candidate to run under the party banner in November.[17]

Independents

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dan Osborn (I) $812,114 $427,220 $384,894
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

The Legal Marijuana NOW primary attracted controversy, with one candidate, Kerry Eddy, admitting that she entered the race with the intention of winning the nomination and then dropping out. Eddy, who was a registered Democrat until March 2024, supports independent candidate Dan Osborn, and feared that the Legal Marijuana NOW Party's nominee could pull votes away from Osborn, who supports legalizing marijuana. Party chair Mark Elworth Jr. denounced Eddy's plan as "shenangians." The party instead supported Ken Peterson, who had been recruited to run by Elworth. Peterson alleged that supporters of Osborn had repeatedly urged him to drop out of the race. Osborn's campaign denied having any involvement in the Legal Marijuana NOW primary, though a pro-Osborn super PAC spent over $30,000 supporting Eddy's campaign.[23]

Withdrew after nomination

  • Kerry Eddy, administrative coordinator (endorsed Osborn)[24]

Eliminated in primary

  • Ken Peterson, compost facility attendant[7]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kerry Eddy (LMN) $16,384 $922 $15,462
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Results

Legal Marijuana NOW primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Legal Marijuana NOW Kerry Eddy 743 70.8%
Legal Marijuana NOW Ken Peterson 306 29.2%
Total votes 1,049 100.0%

Aftermath

After Kerry Eddy won the May primary by a wide margin, she said she was re-evaluating whether or not to drop out of the race. Complicating Eddy's plan is that if she rejected the Legal Marijuana NOW Party's nomination, the party could simply name a replacement nominee. Mark Elworth Jr. has pledged to seek the party's nomination for Senate if Eddy drops out.[25] It was also suggested that Elworth could use his ballot line to nominate a Democrat.[5]

Eddy dropped out of the race on July 30 and endorsed Osborn. The party has until September 3 to name a replacement nominee.[24]

Libertarian Party

In March 2024, independent candidate Dan Osborn sought the support of the Libertarian Party of Nebraska. However, he decided against this, instead running as an independent without any party's support.[5]

Declined

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Solid R November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[27] Solid R November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[29] Safe R June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[30] Safe R May 4, 2023
CNalysis[31] Solid R November 21, 2023

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Deb Fisher (R) $6,263,797 $3,778,940 $2,996,473
Dan Osborn (I) $1,645,585 $995,866 $649,719
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Deb
Fischer (R)
Dan
Osborn (I)
Undecided
Red Wave Strategy Group/
Impact Research
[A]
July 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) 42% 42% 16%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] April 24–25, 2024 737 (RV) ± 3.6% 37% 33% 30%
Change Research (D)[B] November 13–16, 2023 1,048 (LV) ± 3.1%[32] 38% 40% 22%
Deb Fischer vs. Dan Osborn vs. Kerry Eddy
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Deb
Fischer (R)
Dan
Osborn (I)
Kerry
Eddy (LMN)
Undecided
Torchlight Strategies (R)[C] July 8–11, 2024 698 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 24% 9% 17%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Deb Fischer (incumbent)
Independent Dan Osborn
Legal Marijuana NOW TBA
Total votes

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Plumbers Local 16, Sprinkler Fitters Local 699, and Steamfitters Local 664
  2. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b Poll commissioned by Osborn's campaign
  2. ^ Poll commissioned by Nebraska Railroaders for Public Safety, which supports Osborn
  3. ^ Poll commissioned by Fischer's campaign

References

  1. ^ "United States Senate elections, 2024". Ballotpedia. Retrieved July 12, 2022.
  2. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  3. ^ Walton, Don (May 14, 2021). "Fischer says she'll seek third Senate term in 2024". JournalStar.com. Retrieved May 14, 2021.
  4. ^ "Despite gun divide Dems leaning toward Osborn for Senate". central.newschannelnebraska.com.
  5. ^ a b c d e Sanderford, Aaron (May 15, 2024). "Dan Osborn spurns Democrats, other parties whose help he sought in Senate race". Nebraska Examiner. Retrieved May 15, 2024.
  6. ^ "Sen. Deb Fischer officially announces run for a third term". KRVN. June 28, 2023. Retrieved June 28, 2023.
  7. ^ a b "Nebraska Statewide Candidate List". Nebraska Secretary of State. January 5, 2024.
  8. ^ a b c d e World-Herald, Martha Stoddard Omaha (September 21, 2023). "Former Trump adviser Conway endorses Nebraska's Fischer". Star-Herald. Archived from the original on September 22, 2023. Retrieved September 22, 2023.
  9. ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  10. ^ "The Messenger: A PAC Dedicated to Electing GOP Women Issues First Wave of 2024 Endorsements (Exclusive)". maggieslist.org. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
  11. ^ NRA-PVF. "NRA-PVF | Grades | Nebraska". NRA-PVF. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  12. ^ "U.S. Sen. Fischer Earns Nebraska Farm Bureau Endorsement". KTIC 840 AM/98.3 FM/98.7 FM. February 18, 2024. Retrieved February 18, 2024.
  13. ^ "U.S. Chamber Endorses Sen. Deb Fischer for U.S. Senate in Nebraska". U.S. Chamber of Commerce. May 10, 2024.
  14. ^ a b "Dan Osborn says he has the signatures needed to reach Nebraska's fall ballot as a U.S. Senate candidate". Nebraska Examiner. Retrieved March 28, 2024.
  15. ^ a b c d "2024 Election United States Senate - Nebraska". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  16. ^ a b "Official Results: Primary Election - May 14, 2024" (PDF). Secretary of State of Nebraska. Retrieved June 17, 2024.
  17. ^ "Nebraska Democratic Party Statement on Dan Osborn". May 15, 2024. Retrieved May 15, 2024.
  18. ^ Hammel, Paul (September 21, 2023). "Omaha steamfitter/union leader Dan Osborn to challenge incumbent U.S. Sen. Deb. Fischer". Nebraska Examiner. Retrieved September 21, 2023.
  19. ^ a b c d Early, Steve (March 13, 2024). "Dan Osborn Challenges Nebraska's Political Establishment with a Blue-Collar Agenda". Barn Raising Media. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
  20. ^ "2024 Nebraska | CWA Endorsed Candidates | Communications Workers of America". cwa-union.org. Retrieved May 9, 2024.
  21. ^ "Nebraska steamfitter running for U.S. Senate against GOP incumbent is gaining traction".
  22. ^ https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2024/06/10/kamala-harris-sizes-up-her-competition-00162458
  23. ^ Wegley, Andrew (May 12, 2024). "In the Nebraska marijuana party's Senate primary, 'a daring plan' angers loyalists". Lincoln Journal Star. Retrieved May 14, 2024.
  24. ^ a b Sanderford, Aaron (July 30, 2024). "Kerry Eddy leaves Nebraska's U.S. Senate race, endorses Osborn over Fischer". Nebraska Examiner. Retrieved August 1, 2024.
  25. ^ Wegley, Andrew (May 15, 2024). "Nebraska marijuana party candidate tied to Dan Osborn wins primary, mulls future". Lincoln Journal Star. Retrieved May 15, 2024.
  26. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  27. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  28. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  29. ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  30. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  31. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  32. ^ "Observers question poll indicating a close U.S. Senate race between Deb Fischer and Dan Osborn". Nebraska Public Media. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
Official campaign websites